Scopus Eşleşmesi Bulundu
6
Atıf
23
Cilt
🔓
Açık Erişim
Scopus Yazarları: Pradeep Mishra, Khder Mohammed Alakkari, Soumik Ray, Monika Singh, Claris Shoko, Mostafa Abotaleb, Kadir Karakaya, Achal Lama, Abdullah Mohammad Ghazi Al Khatib
Özet
Sugarcane industry is of crucial importance to the South Asian countries. These countries depend heavily on agriculture and the sugarcane industry has immense potential to contribute towards its economic development. Hence, the precise and timely forecast of sugarcane production is of concern for farmers, policy makers and other stakeholders. In this manuscript, we strived to forecast the production and growth rate of this important commodity using standard statistical approaches. The ARIMA (Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average) and ETS (Exponential Smoothing) models were applied and compared on the basis of their forecasting efficiency for South Asia countries. This study also investigated the trends in sugarcane production in the region and studies the causes of the decline in production of sugarcane in Sri Lanka and Bangladesh. Furthermore, the expected production for following 7 years was computed using both models. In addition, we also calculated the projected growth rates of sugarcane production of South Asian countries over the years 2020-2027.
Anahtar Kelimeler (Scopus)
forecasting
policy
sugarcane production
ARIMA
ETS
Anahtar Kelimeler
forecasting
policy
sugarcane production
ARIMA
ETS
Makale Bilgileri
Dergi
Current Applied Science and Technology
ISSN
2586-9396
Yıl
2023
/ 2. ay
Cilt / Sayı
23
/ 1
Sayfalar
1 – 15
Makale Türü
Özgün Makale
Hakemlik
Hakemli
Endeks
Scopus
Yayın Dili
Türkçe
Kapsam
Uluslararası
Toplam Yazar
9 kişi
Erişim Türü
Basılı+Elektronik
Erişim Linki
Makaleye Git
Alan
Fen Bilimleri ve Matematik Temel Alanı
İstatistik
Uygulamalı İstatistik
YÖKSİS Yazar Kaydı
Yazar Adı
MISHRA PRADEEP, Alakkari Khder Mohammed, Lama Achal, Ray Soumik, Singh Monika, Shoko Claris, Abotaleb Mostafa, Khatib Abdullah Mohammad Ghazi AL, KARAKAYA KADİR
YÖKSİS ID
7842433
Hızlı Erişim
Metrikler
Scopus Atıf
6
Yazar Sayısı
9