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Modeling and Forecasting of Sugarcane Production in South Asian Countries
Current Applied Science and Technology 2023 Cilt 23 Sayı 1
Scopus Eşleşmesi Bulundu
14
Atıf
23
Cilt
🔓
Açık Erişim
Scopus Yazarları: Pradeep Mishra, Khder Mohammed Alakkari, Soumik Ray, Monika Singh, Claris Shoko, Mostafa Abotaleb, Kadir Karakaya, Achal Lama, Abdullah Mohammad Ghazi Al Khatib
Özet
Sugarcane industry is of crucial importance to the South Asian countries. These countries depend heavily on agriculture and the sugarcane industry has immense potential to contribute towards its economic development. Hence, the precise and timely forecast of sugarcane production is of concern for farmers, policy makers and other stakeholders. In this manuscript, we strived to forecast the production and growth rate of this important commodity using standard statistical approaches. The ARIMA (Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average) and ETS (Exponential Smoothing) models were applied and compared on the basis of their forecasting efficiency for South Asia countries. This study also investigated the trends in sugarcane production in the region and studies the causes of the decline in production of sugarcane in Sri Lanka and Bangladesh. Furthermore, the expected production for following 7 years was computed using both models. In addition, we also calculated the projected growth rates of sugarcane production of South Asian countries over the years 2020-2027.
Anahtar Kelimeler (Scopus)
forecasting policy sugarcane production ARIMA ETS
Scimago Dergi Bilgisi Otomatik ISSN Eşleştirmesi 2023 yılı verileri
Current Applied Science and Technology
Q4
SJR Quartile
0,179
SJR Skoru
11
H-Index
Kategoriler: Agricultural and Biological Sciences (miscellaneous) (Q4) · Agronomy and Crop Science (Q4) · Biotechnology (Q4) · Environmental Engineering (Q4)
Alanlar: Agricultural and Biological Sciences · Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology · Environmental Science
Ülke: Thailand · King Mongkut's Institute of Technology Ladkrabang
Bu bilgiler makale yılına göre Scimago veritabanından ISSN eşleştirmesiyle otomatik getirilmektedir. Dergi sıralama verileri Scimago'nun ilgili yılı baz alınmaktadır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

forecasting policy sugarcane production ARIMA ETS

Makale Bilgileri

Dergi Current Applied Science and Technology
ISSN 2586-9396
Yıl 2023 / 2. ay
Cilt / Sayı 23 / 1
Sayfalar 1 – 15
Makale Türü Özgün Makale
Hakemlik Hakemli
Endeks Scopus
Yayın Dili Türkçe
Kapsam Uluslararası
Toplam Yazar 9 kişi
Erişim Türü Basılı+Elektronik
Erişim Linki Makaleye Git
Alan Fen Bilimleri ve Matematik Temel Alanı İstatistik Uygulamalı İstatistik

YÖKSİS Yazar Kaydı

Yazar Adı MISHRA PRADEEP, Alakkari Khder Mohammed, Lama Achal, Ray Soumik, Singh Monika, Shoko Claris, Abotaleb Mostafa, Khatib Abdullah Mohammad Ghazi AL, KARAKAYA KADİR
YÖKSİS ID 7842433

Metrikler

Scopus Atıf 14
Yazar Sayısı 9