Scopus
🔓 Açık Erişim YÖKSİS Eşleşti
Modeling and Forecasting of Sugarcane Production in South Asian Countries
Current Applied Science and Technology · Ocak 2023
YÖKSİS Kayıtları
Modeling and Forecasting of Sugarcane Production in South Asian Countries
Current Applied Science and Technology · 2023 Scopus
DOÇENT KADİR KARAKAYA →
Makale Bilgileri
DergiCurrent Applied Science and Technology
Yayın TarihiOcak 2023
Cilt / Sayfa23
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85133121885
Erişim🔓 Açık Erişim
Özet
Sugarcane industry is of crucial importance to the South Asian countries. These countries depend heavily on agriculture and the sugarcane industry has immense potential to contribute towards its economic development. Hence, the precise and timely forecast of sugarcane production is of concern for farmers, policy makers and other stakeholders. In this manuscript, we strived to forecast the production and growth rate of this important commodity using standard statistical approaches. The ARIMA (Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average) and ETS (Exponential Smoothing) models were applied and compared on the basis of their forecasting efficiency for South Asia countries. This study also investigated the trends in sugarcane production in the region and studies the causes of the decline in production of sugarcane in Sri Lanka and Bangladesh. Furthermore, the expected production for following 7 years was computed using both models. In addition, we also calculated the projected growth rates of sugarcane production of South Asian countries over the years 2020-2027.
Yazarlar (9)
1
Pradeep Mishra
2
Khder Mohammed Alakkari
3
Achal Lama
4
Soumik Ray
5
Monika Singh
6
Claris Shoko
7
Mostafa Abotaleb
8
Abdullah Mohammad Ghazi Al Khatib
9
Kadir Karakaya
Anahtar Kelimeler
ARIMA
ETS
forecasting
policy
sugarcane production
Kurumlar
Centurion University of Technology and Management
Paralakhemundi India
College of Agriculture
Powarkheda India
Damascus University
Damascus Syrian Arab Republic
Great Zimbabwe University
Masvingo Zimbabwe
Indian Council of Agricultural Research
New Delhi India
Jawaharlal Nehru Krishi Vishwa Vidyalaya
Jabalpur India
Selçuk Üniversitesi
Selçuklu Turkey
South Ural State University
Chelyabinsk Russian Federation
Université Tichrine
Latakia Syrian Arab Republic
Metrikler
6
Atıf
9
Yazar
5
Anahtar Kelime