Scopus Eşleşmesi Bulundu
22
Atıf
8
Cilt
947-959
Sayfa
Scopus Yazarları: Pradeep Mishra, Adelajda Matuka, Mostafa Abotaleb, W. P.M.C.N. Weerasinghe, Kadir Karakaya, S. S. Das
Özet
This study uses yearly data from 1961 to 2018 to forecast milk production in South Asian countries (including China) using ARIMA/GARCH models and Holt’s Linear approach. It is revealed that not all the methods are equally effective in forecasting. Comparison of mean absolute percentage errors between ARIMA and Holt’s Linear model shows that Holt’s approach reveals higher errors.ARIMA forecasting results show that India will be the country with the highest milk production, followed by Pakistan and China while GARCH model fits better to Bangladesh. This paper has policy implications as it can be used for the proper planning of dairy products in the South-Asian counties to safeguard nutritional security.
Anahtar Kelimeler (Scopus)
Time series
ARIMA
GARCH
Holt’s model
Modeling
Anahtar Kelimeler
Time series
ARIMA
GARCH
Holt’s model
Modeling
Makale Bilgileri
Dergi
Modeling Earth Systems and Environment
ISSN
2363-6203
Yıl
2022
/ 2. ay
Cilt / Sayı
8
Sayfalar
947 – 959
Makale Türü
Özgün Makale
Hakemlik
Hakemli
Endeks
ESCI
Yayın Dili
İngilizce
Kapsam
Uluslararası
Toplam Yazar
6 kişi
Erişim Türü
Basılı+Elektronik
Erişim Linki
Makaleye Git
Alan
Fen Bilimleri ve Matematik Temel Alanı
İstatistik
Uygulamalı İstatistik
YÖKSİS Yazar Kaydı
Yazar Adı
Pradep Mishra, Matuka Adelajda, Abotaleb Mostafa Salaheldin Abdelsalam, Weerasinghe W. P. M. C. N., KARAKAYA KADİR, Das S.S.
YÖKSİS ID
6896501
Hızlı Erişim
Metrikler
Scopus Atıf
22
Yazar Sayısı
6