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ESCI Özgün Makale Scopus
Modeling and forecasting of milk production in the SAARC countries and China
Modeling Earth Systems and Environment 2022 Cilt 8
Scopus Eşleşmesi Bulundu
22
Atıf
8
Cilt
947-959
Sayfa
Scopus Yazarları: Pradeep Mishra, Adelajda Matuka, Mostafa Abotaleb, W. P.M.C.N. Weerasinghe, Kadir Karakaya, S. S. Das
Özet
This study uses yearly data from 1961 to 2018 to forecast milk production in South Asian countries (including China) using ARIMA/GARCH models and Holt’s Linear approach. It is revealed that not all the methods are equally effective in forecasting. Comparison of mean absolute percentage errors between ARIMA and Holt’s Linear model shows that Holt’s approach reveals higher errors.ARIMA forecasting results show that India will be the country with the highest milk production, followed by Pakistan and China while GARCH model fits better to Bangladesh. This paper has policy implications as it can be used for the proper planning of dairy products in the South-Asian counties to safeguard nutritional security.
Anahtar Kelimeler (Scopus)
Time series ARIMA GARCH Holt’s model Modeling

Anahtar Kelimeler

Time series ARIMA GARCH Holt’s model Modeling

Makale Bilgileri

Dergi Modeling Earth Systems and Environment
ISSN 2363-6203
Yıl 2022 / 2. ay
Cilt / Sayı 8
Sayfalar 947 – 959
Makale Türü Özgün Makale
Hakemlik Hakemli
Endeks ESCI
Yayın Dili İngilizce
Kapsam Uluslararası
Toplam Yazar 6 kişi
Erişim Türü Basılı+Elektronik
Erişim Linki Makaleye Git
Alan Fen Bilimleri ve Matematik Temel Alanı İstatistik Uygulamalı İstatistik

YÖKSİS Yazar Kaydı

Yazar Adı Pradep Mishra, Matuka Adelajda, Abotaleb Mostafa Salaheldin Abdelsalam, Weerasinghe W. P. M. C. N., KARAKAYA KADİR, Das S.S.
YÖKSİS ID 6896501

Metrikler

Scopus Atıf 22
Yazar Sayısı 6