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Modeling and forecasting of milk production in the SAARC countries and China

Modeling Earth Systems and Environment · Mart 2022

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YÖKSİS Kayıtları
Modeling and forecasting of milk production in the SAARC countries and China
Modeling Earth Systems and Environment · 2022 ESCI
Doç. Dr. KADİR KARAKAYA →
YÖKSİS ISSN Eşleşmesi

Bu dergide (ISSN eşleşmesi) kurumun 2 kaydı bulundu.

YÖKSİS Kayıtları — ISSN Eşleşmesi
Modeling and forecasting of milk production in the SAARC countries and China
2022 ISSN: 2363-6203 ESCI
Doç. Dr. KADİR KARAKAYA →
Modeling air pollution by integrating ANFIS and metaheuristic algorithms
2022 ISSN: 2363-6203 Emerging Sources Citation Index
Dr. Öğr. Üyesi HARUN YONAR →

Makale Bilgileri

Dergi Modeling Earth Systems and Environment
ISSN23636203
Yayın TarihiMart 2022
Cilt / Sayfa8 · 947-959
DOI10.1007/s40808-021-01138-z
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85101764203
Özet This study uses yearly data from 1961 to 2018 to forecast milk production in South Asian countries (including China) using ARIMA/GARCH models and Holt’s Linear approach. It is revealed that not all the methods are equally effective in forecasting. Comparison of mean absolute percentage errors between ARIMA and Holt’s Linear model shows that Holt’s approach reveals higher errors.ARIMA forecasting results show that India will be the country with the highest milk production, followed by Pakistan and China while GARCH model fits better to Bangladesh. This paper has policy implications as it can be used for the proper planning of dairy products in the South-Asian counties to safeguard nutritional security.

Yazarlar (6)

1
Pradeep Mishra
2
Adelajda Matuka
3
Mostafa Abotaleb
4
W. P.M.C.N. Weerasinghe
5
Kadir Karakaya
6
S. S. Das

Anahtar Kelimeler

ARIMA GARCH Holt’s model Modeling Time series

Kurumlar

Birsa Agricultural University
Ranchi India
Jawaharlal Nehru Krishi Vishwa Vidyalaya
Jabalpur India
Selçuk Üniversitesi
Selçuklu Turkey
South Ural State University
Chelyabinsk Russian Federation
Università degli Studi di Macerata
Macerata Italy
University of Kelaniya
Kelaniya Sri Lanka
Scimago Dergi (ISSN Eşleşmesi)
Modeling Earth Systems and Environment
Q1
SJR Skoru0,654
H-Index66
YayıncıSpringer International Publishing AG
ÜlkeSwitzerland
Agricultural and Biological Sciences (miscellaneous) (Q1)
Computers in Earth Sciences (Q2)
Environmental Science (miscellaneous) (Q2)
Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty (Q2)
Dergi sayfasına git

Metrikler

31
Atıf
6
Yazar
5
Anahtar Kelime

Sistemimizdeki Yazarlar

KK
KADİR KARAKAYA
Doç. Dr.

Hızlı Erişim

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