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Machine learning-based Covid-19 forecasting: Impact on Pakistan stock exchange

International Journal of Agricultural and Statistical Sciences · Haziran 2021

YÖKSİS ISSN Eşleşmesi

Bu dergide (ISSN eşleşmesi) kurumun 2 kaydı bulundu.

YÖKSİS Kayıtları — ISSN Eşleşmesi
MACHINE LEARNING-BASED COVID-19 FORECASTING: IMPACT ON PAKISTAN STOCK EXCHANGE
2021 ISSN: 0973-1903 ESCI
Doç. Dr. KADİR KARAKAYA →
STATE OF ART OF SARIMA MODEL IN SECOND WAVE ON COVID-19 IN INDIA
2022 ISSN: 0973-1903 ESCI
Doç. Dr. KADİR KARAKAYA →

Makale Bilgileri

ISSN09731903
Yayın TarihiHaziran 2021
Cilt / Sayfa17 · 53-61
Özet Machine learning methods have proved to be a prominent study field while solving composite real-world problems. Presently, the world is suffering from the Covid-19 pandemic disease, and its impact needs to be forecasted. The stock exchange is the backbone of any country's economy. After the Covid-19, the stock exchange was too affected. This study is based on the effect of Covid-19 on the Pakistan stock exchange. Pakistan's Covid-19 daily new cases were obtained from the website "our world in data" and stock exchange data KSE-100 from "Yahoo Finance." Machine learning techniques were used to forecast the stock exchange and Covid-19 daily new cases using a wave Ist dataset from 27th February 2020 to 2nd September 2020. Results prove that Pakistan's stock exchange KSE-100 index has shown a positive increase in stock returns. The accuracy of XGBoost is best as compared to the GLMNet method. These two forecasting methods were compared to different accuracy metrics. Best and suitable methods were selected on minimum MAE, MAPE, MASE, SMAPE, RMSE, and maximum R2value. These projections helped the government to make strategies for stock exchange KSE-100 and fight against a pandemic disease.

Yazarlar (6)

1
Iqra Sardar
2
Kadir Karakaya
3
Tatiana Makarovskikh
4
Mostafa Abotaleb
5
Syed Aflake
6
Pradeep Mishra

Anahtar Kelimeler

Covid-19 Machine learning Stock exchange Time series forecasting

Kurumlar

Jawaharlal Nehru Krishi Vishwa Vidyalaya
Jabalpur India
Riphah International University
Islamabad Pakistan
Selçuk Üniversitesi
Selçuklu Turkey
South Ural State University
Chelyabinsk Russian Federation
Scimago Dergi (ISSN Eşleşmesi)
International Journal of Agricultural and Statistical Sciences (discontinued)
Q3 OA
SJR Skoru0,223
H-Index19
YayıncıDAV College
ÜlkeIndia
Agricultural and Biological Sciences (miscellaneous) (Q3)
Applied Mathematics (Q4)
Statistics and Probability (Q4)
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Metrikler

20
Atıf
6
Yazar
4
Anahtar Kelime

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