Scopus
🔓 Açık Erişim
Modelling and Forecasting of Maize Production in South Asian Countries
Economic Affairs (New Delhi) · Eylül 2022
Makale Bilgileri
DergiEconomic Affairs (New Delhi)
Yayın TarihiEylül 2022
Cilt / Sayfa67 · 519-531
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85141441538
Erişim🔓 Açık Erişim
Özet
The challenges of fighting poverty and enhancing food security in South Asia have made maize a strategic crop in this region. In this study, maize production in South Asia, encompassing Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, China, India, Nepal, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka, was analysed and projected from 1961 to 2027 using state-space and ARIMA models. The estimation outcomes demonstrated the state-space models' superior performance in predicting trends in maize output for all eight time series. Additionally, the forecast estimation revealed that we anticipated an uptick in the output of maize in these nations; this finding would be encouraging for the countries in this region as it would heighten the problem of food security. India would be leading countries in maize with production of 380438 thousand tonnes in 2027.
Yazarlar (9)
1
Shikha Yadav
2
Pradeep Mishra
3
Binita Kumari
4
Immad A. Shah
5
Kadir Karakaya
6
Shweta Shrivastri
7
Chellai Fatih
8
Soumik Ray
9
Abdullah Mohammad Ghazi Al Khatib
Anahtar Kelimeler
ARIMA
Forecasting
Maize production
South Asia
State Space Model
Kurumlar
Aditi Mahavidyalaya
New Delhi India
Centurion University of Technology and Management
Paralakhemundi India
College of Agriculture
Powarkheda India
Damascus University
Damascus Syrian Arab Republic
Indian National Science Academy
New Delhi India
Rashtriya Kisan (PG) College
Shamli India
Selçuk Üniversitesi
Selçuklu Turkey
Sher-e-Kashmir University of Agricultural Sciences and Technology of Kashmir
Srinagar India
Université Ferhat Abbas Sétif 1
Setif Algeria
Metrikler
4
Atıf
9
Yazar
5
Anahtar Kelime