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Time series forecast modeling of vulnerabilities in the android operating system using ARIMA and deep learning methods

Sustainable Computing Informatics and Systems · Haziran 2021

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YÖKSİS Kayıtları
Time series forecast modeling of vulnerabilities in the android operating system using ARIMA and deep learning methods
Sustainable Computing: Informatics and Systems · 2021 SCI-Expanded
Prof. Dr. FATİH BAŞÇİFTÇİ →
YÖKSİS ISSN Eşleşmesi

Bu dergide (ISSN eşleşmesi) kurumun 2 kaydı bulundu.

YÖKSİS Kayıtları — ISSN Eşleşmesi
Time series forecast modeling of vulnerabilities in the android operating system using ARIMA and deep learning methods
2021 ISSN: 2210-5379 SCI-Expanded Q1
Prof. Dr. FATİH BAŞÇİFTÇİ →
A Convolutional Neural Network model for identifying Multiple Sclerosis on brain FLAIR MRI
2022 ISSN: 2210-5379 SCI-Expanded Q1
Dr. Öğr. Üyesi ZÜLEYHA YILMAZ ACAR →

Makale Bilgileri

ISSN22105379
Yayın TarihiHaziran 2021
Cilt / Sayfa30
Özet Security vulnerability prediction models allow estimation of the number of potential vulnerabilities and evaluation of the risks caused by these vulnerabilities. In particular, for modeling the vulnerabilities that may occur in software versions over time, it is appropriate to take the necessary countermeasures. These models are crucial in areas such as determining the number of resources required to cope with security vulnerabilities. These reported vulnerabilities, we anticipate the actions of OS companies to make strategic and operational decisions such as secure deployment. The operating system includes backup provisioning, disaster recovery. Although many vulnerability predictions models have been constructed, most of these are for operating systems and internet browsers, and non-exist for the Android mobile operating system, which has the highest number of users. In contrast to other studies, the present study investigated Android vulnerabilities that directly depend on time. Time series, multilayer perceptron (MLP), convolutional neural network (CNN), long short term memory (LSTM), Convolutional LSTM (ConvLSTM) and CNN-LSTM based models were generated, and the best model, providing the lowest error rates for the prediction of future security vulnerabilities, was selected. Data for the creation of the models were obtained by filtering security vulnerabilities published in the National Vulnerability Database (NVD) using the keyword Android. It was observed that the LSTM model has an error rate of 26.830 and the ARIMA model has an error rate of 18.449. Finally, it has been determined that LSTM based algorithms reach error rates that can compete with classical time series models despite limited data.

Yazarlar (2)

1
Kerem Gencer
ORCID: 0000-0002-2914-1056
2
Fatih Başçiftçi

Anahtar Kelimeler

Android vulnerabilities LSTM NVD Software security Time series Vulnerability discovery model

Kurumlar

Karamanoğlu Mehmetbey Üniversitesi
Karaman Turkey
Selçuk Üniversitesi
Selçuklu Turkey
Scimago Dergi (ISSN Eşleşmesi)
Sustainable Computing: Informatics and Systems
Q1
SJR Skoru1,071
H-Index64
YayıncıElsevier Inc.
ÜlkeUnited States
Computer Science (miscellaneous) (Q1)
Electrical and Electronic Engineering (Q1)
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Metrikler

29
Atıf
2
Yazar
6
Anahtar Kelime

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