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What Drives Inflation in High-inflation Countries? Evidence from Haiti, Sudan, Türkiye and Zambia

Politicka Ekonomie · Ocak 2023

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YÖKSİS Kayıtları
What Drives Inflation in High-inflation Countries? Evidence from Haiti, Sudan, Türkiye and Zambia
Politická Ekonomie · 2023 SSCI
Prof. Dr. MEHMET MUCUK →

Makale Bilgileri

ISSN00323233
Yayın TarihiOcak 2023
Cilt / Sayfa71 · 238-266
Erişim🔓 Açık Erişim
Özet The main purpose of this paper is to investigate the long-term effects of money supply, economic growth, interest rate, exchange rate, domestic credits and the oil price on inflation in Haiti, Sudan, Türkiye and Zambia, which are among the world's highest-inflation countries according to 2021 data. For this purpose, a panel cointegration approach is applied where fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS) and dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS) techniques are employed to explore the long-term effects with the help of annual data for the period 2000-2019. Also, the Dumitrescu and Hurlin panel causality test is used to determine whether there is a causality from these variables to inflation. The empirical findings show that there is a long-term relationship among these variables for the whole panel. The consequences from the FMOLS and DOLS estimates show that (i) money supply has a positive effect on inflation, (ii) economic growth affects inflation positively, (iii) an increase in the exchange rate causes inflation to rise, (iv) the oil price affects inflation positively, (v) interest rate affects inflation negatively, and (vi) domestic credits have a negative effect on inflation. In this context, we find that the exchange rate is the variable that has the greatest effect on inflation. Moreover, the findings of the panel causality test suggest that there is a causal relationship from money supply, economic growth, exchange rate and the oil price to inflation.

Yazarlar (2)

1
Mehmet Mucuk
ORCID: 0000-0002-4341-5236
2
Sümeyra Evren

Anahtar Kelimeler

domestic credits economic growth exchange rate Inflation interest rate money supply oil price

Kurumlar

Selçuk Üniversitesi
Selçuklu Turkey
Scimago Dergi (ISSN Eşleşmesi)
Politicka Ekonomie
Q3
SJR Skoru0,292
H-Index18
YayıncıPrague University of Economics and Business
ÜlkeCzech Republic
Economics and Econometrics (Q3)
Sociology and Political Science (Q3)
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2
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2
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7
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