Scopus
🔓 Açık Erişim YÖKSİS DOI Eşleşti
SJR Q3
Modeling and forecasting of milk production in different breeds in Turkey
Indian Journal of Animal Sciences · Ocak 2022
YÖKSİS Kayıtları
Modeling and forecasting of milk production in different breeds in Turkey
Indian Journal of Animal Sciences · 2022 EBSCO
Dr. Öğr. Üyesi AYNUR YONAR →
Modeling and forecasting of milk production in different breeds in Turkey
Indian Journal of Animal Sciences · 2022 SCI-Expanded
Dr. Öğr. Üyesi HARUN YONAR →
Modeling and forecasting of milk production in different breeds in Turkey
Indian Journal of Animal Sciences · 2022 SCI-Expanded
Dr. Öğr. Üyesi AYNUR YONAR →
YÖKSİS Kayıtları — ISSN Eşleşmesi
Distribution of births within a day in Anatolian Merino Sheep
2014 ISSN: 0367-8318 SCI-Expanded
Prof. Dr. ALİ KARABACAK →
The determination of viscosity in barley and using possibilities ofbarleys having different viscosity supplemented with enzyme in layer diets
2000 ISSN: 0367-8318 SCI-Expanded
Prof. Dr. TAHİR BALEVİ →
Resource Usage Efficiency in Sheep Breeding Enterprises in Konya Province and Effects of Different Production Strategies on Profitability
2002 ISSN: 0367-8318 SCI-Expanded Q3
Prof. Dr. CAFER TEPELİ →
The endemic status of Anaplasma marginale in cattle, in Turkey
2018 ISSN: 0367-8318 SCI-Expanded
Prof. Dr. ÖZLEM DERİNBAY EKİCİ →
Concentrations of PT and APTT in dairy cows with Left displacement of abomasum
2003 ISSN: 0367-8318 SCI-Expanded
Prof. Dr. MAHMUT OK →
Replacement of whole milk by milk replacer in the ration of Holstein-Friesian calves raised in Eastern Turkey
2000 ISSN: 0367-8318 SCI-Expanded
Prof. Dr. UĞUR ZÜLKADİR →
Distribution of births within a day in Anatolian Merino Sheep
2014 ISSN: 0367-8318 SCI-Expanded
Prof. Dr. UĞUR ZÜLKADİR →
Modeling and forecasting of milk production in different breeds in Turkey
2022 ISSN: 0367-8318 SCI-Expanded Q4
Dr. Öğr. Üyesi MUSTAFA ÇAM →
Modeling and forecasting of milk production in different breeds in Turkey
2022 ISSN: 0367-8318 SCI-Expanded Q4
Dr. Öğr. Üyesi AYNUR YONAR →
Estimation of heritability and repeatability of milk yield of Brown
Swiss cattle reared in Ulas State Farm
2006 ISSN: 0367-8318 SCI-Expanded
Prof. Dr. MEHMET EMİN TEKİN →
Makale Bilgileri
ISSN03678318
Yayın TarihiOcak 2022
Cilt / Sayfa92 · 105-111
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85124833422
Erişim🔓 Açık Erişim
Özet
Identification of milk production is one of the key activities for the Turkish economy in terms of providing economic income for dairy smallholders and meeting consumer demands. This study aims to predict milk production in Turkey using various time series models which are BATS, TBATS, Holt's Linear Trend, ARIMA models, and NNAR. Yearly data from 1991 to 2019 on Milk Production is used in this study. The best time series model is selected from the testing data set (2015 to 2019) based on the lowest Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The results of this study showed that the best predicts are obtained for Culture purebred milk production by an ARIMA (1,2,1) model, for Crossbreed milk production by a TBATS Model, for Indigenous milk production by ARIMA (0,2,0) model for total milking cows' production by Holt's Linear Trend model. Furthermore, these models forecasted an increasing trend in the production of milk from 2020 to 2025. The percentage increases for culture purebred milk, Crossbreed milk production, and Indigenous milk production from 2020 to 2025 are projected to be 40, 20.9 and 10.9%, respectively. Overall, the total milking cows' production is projected to increase by 25% in 2025.
Yazarlar (7)
1
Harun Yonar
2
Aynur Yonar
3
Pradeep Mishra
4
Mostafa Abotaleb
5
Abdullah Mohammad Ghazi Al Khatib
6
Tatiana Makarovskikh
7
Mustafa Çam
ORCID: 0000-0002-1821-191X
Anahtar Kelimeler
ARIMA
Forecasting
Holt's Linear Trend
Milk production
TBATS
Kurumlar
Damascus University
Damascus Saudi Arabia
Powarkheda
Jabalpur India
Selçuk Üniversitesi
Selçuklu Turkey
South Ural State University
Chelyabinsk Russian Federation
Scimago Dergi (ISSN Eşleşmesi)
Indian Journal of Animal Sciences
Q3
OA
SJR Skoru0,188
H-Index29
YayıncıIndian Council of Agricultural Research
ÜlkeIndia
Veterinary (miscellaneous) (Q3)
Animal Science and Zoology (Q4)
Metrikler
12
Atıf
7
Yazar
5
Anahtar Kelime