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SSCI Özgün Makale Scopus
The Impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty on China’s Business and Consumer Confidence: A Quantile‑Based Analysis
Journal of the Knowledge Economy 2025
Scopus Eşleşmesi Bulundu
1
Atıf
Scopus Yazarları: Assad Ullah, Ibrahim Özmen, Azaz Ali Ather Bukhari, Amber Pervaiz, Waqar Ali Ather Bukhari, Hina Shahzadi
Özet
In an era of economic volatility, consumer and business confidence are in the spotlight in shaping market outcomes. To this end, this study examines the impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on business confidence (BC) and consumer confidence (CC) in China over a period spanning from 2000M1 to 2023M4. This study employs quantile-on-quantile regression and quantile causality approaches for empirical estimations. These approaches can illustrate the overall dependence structure among EPU, BC, and CC, enabling us to identify the underlying asymmetries. The empirical evidence underscores the negative association between EPU and BC in the low, medium, and high quantiles. Regarding the association between EPU and CC, the lower quantiles of EPU negatively influence the lower to medium quantiles of CC. In contrast, the lower quantiles of EPU have a positive association with the high quantiles of CC. In conclusion, the impact of EPU on BC is uniformly negative across the entire distribution, whereas the impact of EPU on CC exhibits asymmetry in China. The study recommends that policymakers should ensure transparent and proactive economic communication to propel business and consumer confidence in China.
Anahtar Kelimeler (Scopus)
Business confidence China Consumer confidence Economic policy uncertainty Quantile causality Quantile-on-quantile regression

Anahtar Kelimeler

Business confidence China Consumer confidence Economic policy uncertainty Quantile causality Quantile-on-quantile regression

Makale Bilgileri

Dergi Journal of the Knowledge Economy
ISSN 1868-7873
Yıl 2025 / 2. ay
Makale Türü Özgün Makale
Hakemlik Hakemli
Endeks SSCI
Yayın Dili İngilizce
Kapsam Uluslararası
Toplam Yazar 6 kişi
Erişim Türü Basılı+Elektronik
Erişim Linki Makaleye Git
Alan Sosyal, Beşeri ve İdari Bilimler Temel Alanı Maliye Mali İktisat

YÖKSİS Yazar Kaydı

Yazar Adı Ullah Assad,ÖZMEN İBRAHİM,Ather Bukhari Azaz Ali,Pervaiz Amber,Ather Bukhari Waqar Ali,Shahzadi Hina
YÖKSİS ID 8503924

Metrikler

Scopus Atıf 1
Yazar Sayısı 6