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Scopus Yazarları: Assad Ullah, Ibrahim Özmen, Azaz Ali Ather Bukhari, Amber Pervaiz, Waqar Ali Ather Bukhari, Hina Shahzadi
Özet
In an era of economic volatility, consumer and business confidence are in the spotlight in shaping market outcomes. To this end, this study examines the impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on business confidence (BC) and consumer confidence (CC) in China over a period spanning from 2000M1 to 2023M4. This study employs quantile-on-quantile regression and quantile causality approaches for empirical estimations. These approaches can illustrate the overall dependence structure among EPU, BC, and CC, enabling us to identify the underlying asymmetries. The empirical evidence underscores the negative association between EPU and BC in the low, medium, and high quantiles. Regarding the association between EPU and CC, the lower quantiles of EPU negatively influence the lower to medium quantiles of CC. In contrast, the lower quantiles of EPU have a positive association with the high quantiles of CC. In conclusion, the impact of EPU on BC is uniformly negative across the entire distribution, whereas the impact of EPU on CC exhibits asymmetry in China. The study recommends that policymakers should ensure transparent and proactive economic communication to propel business and consumer confidence in China.
Anahtar Kelimeler (Scopus)
Business confidence
China
Consumer confidence
Economic policy uncertainty
Quantile causality
Quantile-on-quantile regression
Anahtar Kelimeler
Business confidence
China
Consumer confidence
Economic policy uncertainty
Quantile causality
Quantile-on-quantile regression
Makale Bilgileri
Dergi
Journal of the Knowledge Economy
ISSN
1868-7873
Yıl
2025
/ 2. ay
Makale Türü
Özgün Makale
Hakemlik
Hakemli
Endeks
SSCI
Yayın Dili
İngilizce
Kapsam
Uluslararası
Toplam Yazar
6 kişi
Erişim Türü
Basılı+Elektronik
Erişim Linki
Makaleye Git
Alan
Sosyal, Beşeri ve İdari Bilimler Temel Alanı
Maliye
Mali İktisat
YÖKSİS Yazar Kaydı
Yazar Adı
Ullah Assad,ÖZMEN İBRAHİM,Ather Bukhari Azaz Ali,Pervaiz Amber,Ather Bukhari Waqar Ali,Shahzadi Hina
YÖKSİS ID
8503924
Hızlı Erişim
Metrikler
Scopus Atıf
1
Yazar Sayısı
6