Scopus Eşleşmesi Bulundu
29
Cilt
1289-1317
Sayfa
Scopus Yazarları: Turgut Yokuş, Ahmet Ay
Özet
It is generally accepted in the literature that the currency crisis has negative macroeconomic consequences, such as bankruptcies, unemployment, and recession in economies. The economic consequences of different currency crisis severity will also be different. To reveal these differences, in our study, the severe currency crisis that puts the economies into recession is defined as the “Currency Depression”. It is extremely important that cases of currency crisis/depression can be predicted before they arise, and allow the economic authorities enough time to implement recovery policies to prevent or at least soften the negative effects of the case. In reference to this importance, Cases of currency crisis/depression occurring in the Turkish economy during 1992:1-2020:12 were created by the early warning system signal approach and analyzed in comparison with the 20 set of indicators. The analysis concluded that these two cases had different initial conditions based on the indicators and their efficacy. The macroeconomic consequences of the currency crisis and currency depression are comparable; four-quarter observation period averages respectively, growth, (1.7%,-3.52%) unemployment (employment/employable population: down 2.1 and 2.85 points), inflation (7.37%, 13.38%), interest (43.89%, 63.04%) and real public domestic debt stock change, (11.54%, 20.7%). Thus, the judgment was reached that these two cases had different initial conditions and different outcomes.
Anahtar Kelimeler (Scopus)
Currency Crises
Early Warning System
Signal Approach
Anahtar Kelimeler
Currency Crises
Early Warning System
Signal Approach
Makale Bilgileri
Dergi
Iranian Economic Review
ISSN
2588-6096
Yıl
2023
/ 12. ay
Makale Türü
Özgün Makale
Hakemlik
Hakemli
Endeks
Scopus
TEŞV Puanı
6,00
Yayın Dili
İngilizce
Kapsam
Uluslararası
Toplam Yazar
2 kişi
Erişim Türü
Elektronik
Erişim Linki
Makaleye Git
Alan
Sosyal, Beşeri ve İdari Bilimler Temel Alanı
Uluslararası İktisat
YÖKSİS Yazar Kaydı
Yazar Adı
YOKUŞ TURGUT, AY AHMET
YÖKSİS ID
7763155
Hızlı Erişim
Metrikler
TEŞV Puanı
6,00
Yazar Sayısı
2