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Scopus Özgün Makale Scopus
Turkish Economy Currency Crisis and Depression; Different Start, Different Result
Iranian Economic Review 2023
Scopus Eşleşmesi Bulundu
29
Cilt
1289-1317
Sayfa
Scopus Yazarları: Turgut Yokuş, Ahmet Ay
Özet
It is generally accepted in the literature that the currency crisis has negative macroeconomic consequences, such as bankruptcies, unemployment, and recession in economies. The economic consequences of different currency crisis severity will also be different. To reveal these differences, in our study, the severe currency crisis that puts the economies into recession is defined as the “Currency Depression”. It is extremely important that cases of currency crisis/depression can be predicted before they arise, and allow the economic authorities enough time to implement recovery policies to prevent or at least soften the negative effects of the case. In reference to this importance, Cases of currency crisis/depression occurring in the Turkish economy during 1992:1-2020:12 were created by the early warning system signal approach and analyzed in comparison with the 20 set of indicators. The analysis concluded that these two cases had different initial conditions based on the indicators and their efficacy. The macroeconomic consequences of the currency crisis and currency depression are comparable; four-quarter observation period averages respectively, growth, (1.7%,-3.52%) unemployment (employment/employable population: down 2.1 and 2.85 points), inflation (7.37%, 13.38%), interest (43.89%, 63.04%) and real public domestic debt stock change, (11.54%, 20.7%). Thus, the judgment was reached that these two cases had different initial conditions and different outcomes.
Anahtar Kelimeler (Scopus)
Currency Crises Early Warning System Signal Approach

Anahtar Kelimeler

Currency Crises Early Warning System Signal Approach

Makale Bilgileri

Dergi Iranian Economic Review
ISSN 2588-6096
Yıl 2023 / 12. ay
Makale Türü Özgün Makale
Hakemlik Hakemli
Endeks Scopus
TEŞV Puanı 6,00
Yayın Dili İngilizce
Kapsam Uluslararası
Toplam Yazar 2 kişi
Erişim Türü Elektronik
Erişim Linki Makaleye Git
Alan Sosyal, Beşeri ve İdari Bilimler Temel Alanı Uluslararası İktisat

YÖKSİS Yazar Kaydı

Yazar Adı YOKUŞ TURGUT, AY AHMET
YÖKSİS ID 7763155

Metrikler

TEŞV Puanı 6,00
Yazar Sayısı 2