Scopus Eşleşmesi Bulundu
13
Atıf
92
Cilt
105-111
Sayfa
🔓
Açık Erişim
Scopus Yazarları: Mostafa Abotaleb, Abdullah Mohammad Ghazi Al Khatib, Tatiana Makarovskikh, Mustafa Çam, Harun Yonar, Aynur Yonar, Pradeep Mishra
Özet
Identification of milk production is one of the key activities for the Turkish economy in terms of providing economic income for dairy smallholders and meeting consumer demands. This study aims to predict milk production in Turkey using various time series models which are BATS, TBATS, Holt's Linear Trend, ARIMA models, and NNAR. Yearly data from 1991 to 2019 on Milk Production is used in this study. The best time series model is selected from the testing data set (2015 to 2019) based on the lowest Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The results of this study showed that the best predicts are obtained for Culture purebred milk production by an ARIMA (1,2,1) model, for Crossbreed milk production by a TBATS Model, for Indigenous milk production by ARIMA (0,2,0) model for total milking cows' production by Holt's Linear Trend model. Furthermore, these models forecasted an increasing trend in the production of milk from 2020 to 2025. The percentage increases for culture purebred milk, Crossbreed milk production, and Indigenous milk production from 2020 to 2025 are projected to be 40, 20.9 and 10.9%, respectively. Overall, the total milking cows' production is projected to increase by 25% in 2025.
Anahtar Kelimeler (Scopus)
Forecasting
Holt's Linear Trend
ARIMA
Milk production
TBATS
Scimago Dergi Bilgisi
Otomatik ISSN Eşleştirmesi
2022 yılı verileri
Indian Journal of Animal Sciences
Q3
SJR Quartile
0,196
SJR Skoru
29
H-Index
🔓
Açık Erişim
Kategoriler: Veterinary (miscellaneous) (Q3) · Animal Science and Zoology (Q4)
Alanlar: Agricultural and Biological Sciences · Veterinary
Ülke: India
· Indian Council of Agricultural Research
Bu bilgiler makale yılına göre Scimago veritabanından ISSN eşleştirmesiyle otomatik getirilmektedir.
Dergi sıralama verileri Scimago'nun ilgili yılı baz alınmaktadır.
Anahtar Kelimeler
ARIMA
Forecasting
Holt's Linear Trend
Milk production
TBATS
Makale Bilgileri
Dergi
Indian Journal of Animal Sciences
ISSN
0367-8318
Yıl
2022
/ 1. ay
Cilt / Sayı
92
/ 1
Makale Türü
Özgün Makale
Hakemlik
Hakemli
Endeks
SCI-Expanded
JCR Quartile
Q4
Yayın Dili
İngilizce
Kapsam
Uluslararası
Toplam Yazar
7 kişi
Erişim Türü
Basılı+Elektronik
Erişim Linki
Makaleye Git
Alan
Sağlık Bilimleri Temel Alanı
Biyoistatistik
ARIMA, Forecasting, Holt's Linear Trend, Milk production, TBATS
YÖKSİS Yazar Kaydı
Yazar Adı
YONAR HARUN, YONAR AYNUR, Mishra Pradeep, Abotaleb MOSTAFA, GHAZI AL KHATIB ABDULLAH MOHAMMAD, MAKAROVSKIKH TATIANA, ÇAM MUSTAFA
YÖKSİS ID
6916371
Hızlı Erişim
Metrikler
Scopus Atıf
13
JCR Quartile
Q4
Yazar Sayısı
7