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TR DİZİN Özgün Makale Scopus
Modeling and forecasting of egg production in India using time series models
Eurasian Journal of Veterinary Sciences 2021 Cilt 37 Sayı 4
Scopus Eşleşmesi Bulundu
14
Atıf
37
Cilt
265-273
Sayfa
🔓
Açık Erişim
Scopus Yazarları: Abdullah Mohammad Ghazi Al Khatib, Mostafa Abotaleb, Aynur Yonar, Amr Badr, Harun Yonar, Pradeep Mishra, Kadir Karakaya, Vinti Dhaka
Özet
Aim: Eating habits have changed in India and this change has also affected protein consumption habits. The change in eating habits of egg products is an indication of this. Considering the population growth rate and the resulting increase in egg demand, the countries should increase their production of protein poultry products. Aim of the study was to obtain results for both policymakers and suppliers to develop strategies with the forecast of egg consumption. Materials and Methods: In this study, the production of Eggs in India is considered and forecasts are made by the several time series model such as the ARIMA, BATS, TBATS, and Holt’slinear trend. The testing data for the production of the egg is considered from 2015-2019. Results: It is detected that Holt’s Linear Trend Model is the best fit model for forecasting. The MAPE values are obtained as 2.137%, 5.378%, 4.681%, and 1.392% by the best-fitted models BATS, TBATS, ARIMA (1,2,2), and Holt’s Linear Trend respectively. According to Holt’s linear trend Model, the Eggs production continues its upward trend in India. The Eggs production in India would be increased from 111350.3 to 148696.9 during the period 2019-2020 to 2023-2024. Conclusion: This study might help policymakers in the Livestock sector to under standard making strategies for the future to invest in it. Furthermore, it is important to make a strategic plan for eggs export, eggs supply, eggs demand, and eggs prices by the Indian government.
Anahtar Kelimeler (Scopus)
ARIMA BATS Forecasting Holt’s linear trend method TBATS

Anahtar Kelimeler

ARIMA BATS Forecasting Holt’s linear trend method TBATS

Makale Bilgileri

Dergi Eurasian Journal of Veterinary Sciences
ISSN 2146-1953
Yıl 2021 / 1. ay
Cilt / Sayı 37 / 4
Sayfalar 265 – 273
Makale Türü Özgün Makale
Hakemlik Hakemli
Endeks TR DİZİN
Yayın Dili İngilizce
Kapsam Ulusal
Toplam Yazar 8 kişi
Erişim Türü Elektronik
Erişim Linki Makaleye Git
Alan Fen Bilimleri ve Matematik Temel Alanı İstatistik

YÖKSİS Yazar Kaydı

Yazar Adı Abdullah Mohammad Ghazi Al Khatib, YONAR HARUN, Abotaleb Mostafa, Pradep Mishra, YONAR AYNUR, KARAKAYA KADİR, Badr Amr, Dhaka Vinti
YÖKSİS ID 5993944