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SCI-Expanded JCR Q3 Özgün Makale Scopus
Modeling and Forecasting of Sugarcane Production in India
Sugar Tech 2021 Cilt 23 Sayı 6
Scopus Eşleşmesi Bulundu
33
Atıf
23
Cilt
1317-1324
Sayfa
🔓
Açık Erişim
Scopus Yazarları: Pradeep Mishra, Abdullah Mohammad Ghazi Al Khatib, Iqra Sardar, Kadir Karakaya, Abhiram Dash, Monika Ray, Lakshmi Narsimhaiah, Anurag Dubey, Jamal Mohammed
Özet
Sugarcane plays an essential role in the economy of the India. During 2018, 79.9% of total sugarcane production of India was used in the manufacture of white sugar, 11.29% was used for jaggery production, and 8.80% was used as seed and feed materials. 840.16 Mt sugarcane was exported in the year 2019. Prediction of production level is basic to effective decision-making for policymakers. The objective of this study is thus to find the suitable models of forecasting for sugarcane production. India and major sugarcane producing states, namely Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu and Uttar Pradesh were selected. Sugarcane production data from 1950 to 2015 were used for training and 2016 to 2018 was used to test the model. ARIMA method was used to model the production process. Order selection was done using AIC. RMSE, MAPE and Theils’ U statistic were used to test the accuracy of the models fitted to the data. ARCH process was found for Karnataka, Tamil Nadu and Uttar Pradesh. Autocorrelation was not present in all the data series analyzed. Forecast accuracy on MAPE criteria ranged from 0.046 to 0.197 percent.
Anahtar Kelimeler (Scopus)
ARIMA Forecasting India Modeling Production Sugarcane

Anahtar Kelimeler

ARIMA Forecasting India Modeling Production Sugarcane

Makale Bilgileri

Dergi Sugar Tech
ISSN 0972-1525
Yıl 2021 / 12. ay
Cilt / Sayı 23 / 6
Sayfalar 1317 – 1324
Makale Türü Özgün Makale
Hakemlik Hakemli
Endeks SCI-Expanded
JCR Quartile Q3
TEŞV Puanı 1,00
Yayın Dili İngilizce
Kapsam Uluslararası
Toplam Yazar 9 kişi
Erişim Türü Elektronik
Erişim Linki Makaleye Git
Alan Fen Bilimleri ve Matematik Temel Alanı İstatistik

YÖKSİS Yazar Kaydı

Yazar Adı Pradep Mishra, Abdullah Mohammad Ghazi Al Khatib, Iqra Sardar, Jamal Mohammed, KARAKAYA KADİR, Abhiram Dash, Monika Ray, Lakshmi Narsimhaiah, Anurag Dubey
YÖKSİS ID 5871657

Metrikler

Scopus Atıf 33
JCR Quartile Q3
TEŞV Puanı 1,00
Yazar Sayısı 9