Scopus Eşleşmesi Bulundu
128
Atıf
26
Cilt
1355-1367
Sayfa
Scopus Yazarları: Hasan Hüseyin Çevik, Mehmet Çunkaş
Özet
This paper presents short-term load forecasting models, which are developed by using fuzzy logic and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS). Firstly, historical data are analyzed and weekdays are grouped according to their load characteristics. Then, historical load, temperature difference and season are selected as inputs. In general literature, fuzzy logic hourly load forecasts are tested in the range a few days or a few weeks. Unlike previous studies, the hourly load forecast is carried out for 1 year. This paper shows that fuzzy logic can give good results in very large test data sets for 1 year. Besides, for countries with large areas, the temperature data taken from only one point would lead to increase the forecasting errors. Therefore, the average of temperature for six cities having the maximum power consumption is weighted average. The mean absolute percentage errors of the fuzzy logic and ANFIS models in terms of prediction accuracy are obtained as 2.1 and 1.85, respectively. The results show that the proposed fuzzy logic and ANFIS models are capable of load forecasting efficiently and produce very close values to the actual data and are the alternative way for short-term load forecasting in Turkey.
Anahtar Kelimeler (Scopus)
ANFIS
Fuzzy logic
Forecast methods
Short-term load forecasting
Scimago Dergi Bilgisi
Otomatik ISSN Eşleştirmesi
2015 yılı verileri
Neural Computing and Applications
Q2
SJR Quartile
0,613
SJR Skoru
146
H-Index
Kategoriler: Artificial Intelligence (Q2) · Software (Q2)
Alanlar: Computer Science
Ülke: United Kingdom
· Springer London
Bu bilgiler makale yılına göre Scimago veritabanından ISSN eşleştirmesiyle otomatik getirilmektedir.
Dergi sıralama verileri Scimago'nun ilgili yılı baz alınmaktadır.
Anahtar Kelimeler
ANFIS
Fuzzy logic
Forecast methods
Short-term load forecasting
Makale Bilgileri
Dergi
Neural Computing and Applications
ISSN
0941-0643
Yıl
2015
/ 8. ay
Cilt / Sayı
26
/ 6
Sayfalar
1355 – 1367
Makale Türü
Özgün Makale
Hakemlik
Hakemli
Endeks
SCI-Expanded
TEŞV Puanı
108,00
Yayın Dili
İngilizce
Kapsam
Uluslararası
Toplam Yazar
2 kişi
Erişim Türü
Elektronik
Erişim Linki
Makaleye Git
Alan
Mühendislik Temel Alanı-
Elektrik-Elektronik Mühendisliği
YÖKSİS Yazar Kaydı
Yazar Adı
ÇEVİK HASAN HÜSEYİN,ÇUNKAŞ MEHMET
YÖKSİS ID
374001
Hızlı Erişim
Metrikler
Scopus Atıf
128
TEŞV Puanı
108,00
Yazar Sayısı
2