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SCI-Expanded JCR Q2 Özgün Makale Scopus
Predicting photovoltaic output parameters of perovskite solar cells using explainable machine learning with physics-informed and simulation-derived descriptors
Materials Today Communications 2026 Cilt 52
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52
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Açık Erişim
Scopus Yazarları: Ayşegül Toprak
Özet
The predictive modeling of perovskite solar cell performance is challenged by the strong coupling between structural, electronic, optical, and recombination-related processes. In this study, a simulation-driven and physics-informed machine learning framework is proposed to predict the key photovoltaic performance parameters, namely open-circuit voltage (V<inf>oc</inf>), short-circuit current density (J<inf>sc</inf>), fill factor (FF), and power conversion efficiency (PCE), using a comprehensive drift–diffusion simulation dataset. The model is constructed using 29 physically meaningful input descriptors that explicitly encode device geometry, charge transport, optical generation, recombination pathways, and electrical loss mechanisms, enabling a physically rich and systematic representation of perovskite solar cell operation. Six regression algorithms, namely Linear Regression, K-Nearest Neighbors, Support Vector Regression, Multilayer Perceptron, Random Forest, and Extreme Gradient Boosting, are evaluated using five-fold cross-validation. Among these, XGBoost consistently delivers the best predictive performance across all target parameters, achieving low prediction errors and strong correlations with the reference data (PCE: RMSE = 0.012, r = 0.951). Beyond numerical accuracy, SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) are employed to provide transparency into the learned relationships. The analysis reveals that V<inf>oc</inf> is primarily governed by recombination-related mechanisms, J<inf>sc</inf> is dominated by photogeneration and transport processes, FF is strongly influenced by resistive losses, and PCE emerges as a coupled outcome of these interacting effects. The strong agreement between the SHAP results and known device physics shows that the model captures physically meaningful relationships rather than spurious correlations. Overall, this work demonstrates that combining physics-based drift–diffusion simulations with explainable machine learning enables accurate performance prediction, offering a robust pathway for data-driven analysis and optimization of perovskite solar cells.
Anahtar Kelimeler (Scopus)
Drift–diffusion simulation Perovskite solar cells Physics-informed machine learning SHAP

Anahtar Kelimeler

"Perovskite solar cells" "Physics-informed machine learning" "Drift-diffusion simulation" "SHAP" Drift–diffusion simulation Perovskite solar cells Physics-informed machine learning SHAP
mavi = YÖKSİS   yeşil = Scopus

Makale Bilgileri

Dergi Materials Today Communications
ISSN 2352-4928
Yıl 2026 / 3. ay
Cilt / Sayı 52
Makale Türü Özgün Makale
Hakemlik Hakemli
Endeks SCI-Expanded
JCR Quartile Q2
Yayın Dili Türkçe
Kapsam Uluslararası
Toplam Yazar 1 kişi
Erişim Türü Basılı+Elektronik
Erişim Linki Makaleye Git
Alan Mühendislik Temel Alanı Elektrik-Elektronik ve Haberleşme Mühendisliği Yenilenebilir Enerji Sistemleri "Perovskite solar cells","Physics-informed machine learning","Drift-diffusion simulation","SHAP"

YÖKSİS Yazar Kaydı

Yazar Adı TOPRAK AYŞEGÜL
YÖKSİS ID 9537682

Metrikler

Scopus Atıf 1
JCR Quartile Q2
Yazar Sayısı 1